The Dunning-Kruger Phenomenon -- Arrogant Ignorance and Other Destructive Consequences

 

This is one of the most destructive factors in the entire equation.

1.    I have referred elsewhere to the Dunning-Kruger effect or Syndrome – this is documented in some detail in Wikipedia at:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect

The headline definition is  “The Dunning–Kruger effect is a cognitive bias in which unskilled individuals suffer from illusory superiority, mistakenly rating their ability much higher than average. This bias is attributed to a metacognitive inability of the unskilled to recognize their mistakes. “

“Actual competence may weaken self-confidence, as competent individuals may falsely assume that others have an equivalent understanding. David Dunning and Justin Kruger conclude, "the miscalibration of the incompetent stems from an error about the self, whereas the miscalibration of the highly competent stems from an error about others".”

Wikipedia goes on to document various historical references “Although the Dunning–Kruger effect was put forward in 1999, Dunning and Kruger have quoted Charles Darwin ("Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge") and Bertrand Russell ("One of the painful things about our time is that those who feel certainty are stupid, and those with any imagination and understanding are filled with doubt and indecision") as authors who have recognised the phenomenon. Geraint Fuller, commenting on the paper, notes that Shakespeare expresses similar sentiment in As You Like It ("The fool doth think he is wise, but the wise man knows himself to be a fool.")).”

The article goes on to provide much more comprehensive information.

 

2.    Based on my own personal experience of this phenomenon and observation of its workings permeating the South African economy today I have concluded that one might better summarize this effect as “arrogant ignorance” – the party concerned does not know what they do not know and are so convinced that they know all there is to know about the subject that they cannot be taught, let alone engaged in rational intellectual debate.  All the rules of team work and creative engagement which Europeans take for granted and are fundamental to the success of European driven economies are trashed by arrogant ignorance.

 

3.    This phenomenon can also be summarized as “when you do NOT know what you do NOT know you have no way of knowing what you are doing wrong or of considering the possibility that you might be wrong” – Europeans are constantly aware of the reality that they may lack key information and are always ready to consider another opinion and are diffident in presenting their ideas.  Place these two people in a room together and the arrogant ignoramus will nearly always win because the knowledgeable person will think there is something they do not understand.  Furthermore, in such an engagement it is almost certain that the ignorant person will sooner rather than later play the race card and accuse their superior of racism or of “undermining” them, as has happened to me in a real world situation.

 

4.    This phenomenon is manifest today with hundreds of thousands of Government officials – Cadres, Affirmative Action and BEE appointments who, in their arrogant ignorance, are trashing the fundamentals of the economy – sometimes at physical levels but frequently at very difficult to identify non-tangible levels.

 

5.    All Eurocentric economies built by European people have been built on consistent rewarding of excellence, strong emphasis on the importance of knowledge, experience, teamwork and collaboration – the working together of multi-disciplinary teams with diverse and complimentary knowledge and experience, aptitude and proven ability which, together, have created advanced technologies, methods, knowledge, etc.

Introducing even one arrogant ignoramus into such a situation totally disrupts the effectiveness of the team as they constantly interject their inputs which are generally totally off the mark, distracting and disrupting with the result that either the rest of the team give up and walk away or, if they take a stand it almost always degenerates into an ugly racial incident.  Some people are more skilled than others at dealing with this behaviour but technical people, as a rule, struggle to handle it and frequently become aggressively assertive and resort to insults and name calling out of frustration – much of Afrikaner “racism” can be understood through this lens.

 

6.    Africans with the combination of Power-Fear leadership coupled to arrogant ignorance work harshly against the European approach and marginalize or kill (literally or figuratively) those with ability who are perceived to be threats or competition while the European approach embraces this interaction and seeks to learn from and strengthen the solution by drawing on diverse experience.  This enables the team to push the envelope in terms of achievement.  The Power-Fear-Arrogant-Ignorance combination crushes creativity and drives mediocrity.

 

7.    Coupled to the above phenomena there is a widely recognized inability on the part of most African people to undertake deductive cause and effect cognitive analysis and reasoning resulting in a composite outcome where the African ANC Command leadership is continually taking decisions, introducing policies and laws and taking actions that are fundamentally trashing the South African economy.

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Do NOT Impute Motive

From consideration of the current situation in South Africa it is very easy to infer a hidden agenda on behalf of the ANC to destroy Europeans in South Africa, however I have come to understand that this is NOT the case, refer

http://www.south-africa-the-real-issues.org/Home/DoNOTImputeMotiveANCNOhiddenagenda.aspx

The counterpoint to this is that the motive of Afrikaner Europeans was ALSO not the motive imputed to them by the ANC and the Western world

 

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One Hundred Thousand challenged to seek the Almighty Creator at the Voortrekker Monument in Pretoria on Monday 16th December 2013

This website evidences the impending utter destruction of South Africa and challenges those who can grasp the seriousness of the situation to come before the Almighty in Pretoria on Monday 16th December 2013 to cry out for deliverance -- see page http://www.south-africa-the-real-issues.org/Gathering16Dec2013.aspx

If you have NOT seen this YOU need to!

President Jacob Zuma, President of South Africa, leads the ANC Leadership and tens of thousands of ANC supporters in singing "The Cabinet will shoot the Boer with machine guns" in Bloemfontein on 8th January 2012 -- it appears that he may well have done this AGAIN on 16th December 2012

If you have NOT seen this you NEED to

This violates his Oath of Office, the Constitution, and, and, and -- it is a basis for impeachment

The agreement reached in October does NOT neutralize the culpability of the PRESIDENT doing what you will see here

This is NOT a "struggle song" -- the Cabinet during the struggle was made up of Boers -- this is a MODERN song

There is a direct correlation between this and the massive rate of white murders discussed in this book and on this site (between 68,800 and 165,000 since 1994)

There are OTHER very unpleasant unavoidable conclusions to be drawn

Note the enthusiasm of the participants and then ask yourself what conclusion you draw!

This website and the book that is available for free download here discuss this and many other unpleasant facts that point to some very unpleasant conclusions about the direction that South Africa is going

You can download the video from https://www.box.com/s/yfricz1py78hitx4aal7

or from https://docs.google.com/file/d/0BxX3T4bXCWezYjVHQzNBU3hLTWM/edit?usp=sharing

Please take some time to engage with the content

The ONLY way that Jacob Zuma and the ANC can reverse this is by a widely broadcast public apology by Zuma and his top ANC Cabinet members broadcast on all TV and Radio Channels and many newspapers and CONCRETE action to bring a halt to ending white murders -- in my mind that requires that the Death Penalty is reinstated

Visit http://www.south-africa-the-real-issues.org/Home/ZumaSings.aspx for further toxic songs and further commentary

 

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Website Contents

Please click on the topics to access the relevant page

Home

Do NOT Impute Motive -- the ANC and the Afrikaners

About the Cover

Preface

Zuma leads tens of thousands in singing about murdering whites -- an in-depth analysis of why this is so destructive

The South African Extreme white murder rate -- what is driving it? -- analyzed in-depth

What was Apartheid Really? -- an in-depth analysis of why Apartheid was NOT what it is widely believed to be

  

 Introduction

· Preamble

· Simplifying Complexity – my Analytical Approach

· Who AM I?

· What I am Feeling (same as most Europeans?)

· Evidence of Impending Collapse

· The Audience for this Book

· The Level of Murders of Europeans

· Race – The Unmentionable Fundamental that is Driving it ALL

· To my African Countrymen – WHY I am Alienated

· Why am I so UNSETTLED?

· 10 Concrete things the ANC is doing that are causing Irreversible Economic Damage

· There ARE Highly Intelligent and Highly Capable Africans – BUT…

 

The Critical Issues

·         The Critical Issues Overview

·         Mythology

                o   SA Myths Debunked

                o   What the White Man Brought to South Africa

o   The Truth about Exploitation, Oppression, etc

o   Erroneous Thinking in terms of Majority Rule

o   Affirmative Action and Black Economic Empowerment are Complete Misnomers

o   The Black Settlement Phenomenon – Total Lack of Creativity and Initiative – Social Helplessness

o   How is Prosperity Created?

o   How is Poverty Created?

o   The ANC is Founded on a Fundamentally False Premise

·         Economic Meltdown -- The Time Trajectory of Strategic Collapse

·         The ANC’s REAL Agenda?

·         Black Population Explosion

·         The Collapse of Education

·         South Africa is NO Longer a Democracy

·         Other 

 

The Intangible Factors Driving South Africa’s Collapse

·         The Dunning-Kruger Phenomenon ? Arrogant Ignorance and Other Destructive Consequences

·         Understanding Early Childhood Learning and its Impact on South Africa

·         Understanding “Power-Fear” and its Negative Consequences for South Africa

·         The African “Garden of Eden” Mindset (Money Grows on Trees)

·         Greed Versus Prudence

·         Understanding versus Rote Learning

·         Assets and People do NOT EQUAL Wealth

            o   The Land Issue

            o   Asset Obsession and things that are NOT Wealth

            o   Different Definitions of Wealth – Another Point of Difference

·         Genetics?

            o   Major Gaps in African Deductive Reasoning – Cause and Effect, etc

            o   Is the Manifest Cause and Effect Cognitive Gap Throughout Africa Evidence of a Genetic Short Coming?

·         Words – Harder than Concrete

·         The African Victim Drama and European Rescue Drama Dynamic

·         Communism – Exacerbating Power-Fear and Arrogant Ignorance

·         Witchcraft and Ancestor Worship – Central to Understanding

·         European Fundamentals that Mask the Seriousness of the Situation

                o   Attributes of Europeans and Africans Contrasted

                o   Psychodynamics of Africans and Europeans

o   European Fundamentals – Towards Understanding South Africa 2013

o   Mistakes the Europeans (especially Afrikaners) made

o   The 2%:12%:86% Wealth Creation Phenomenon amongst Europeans

o   Fundamental European Values at a Wealth Creator, Wealth Developer Leadership Level

o   What South African Europeans do Instinctively to Accommodate Africans

·         Liberalism

            o   Incorrect beliefs of Liberal, Christian Europeans

            o   Liberalism – Seriously Clouding the Issues

·         The Religious Dimension

·         Apartheid

            o   Overarching Headlines a Week after Reading the book “Bulala” by Cuan Elgin

            o   Thoughts after Reading Bulala – A True Story of South Africa by Cuan Elgin

            o   What WAS Apartheid? – REALLY?

            o   Afrikaner Racial Hostility, Distrust, Fear and Arrogance – Truth with Wrong Attitude

            o   The Afrikaner Paradox – Blessed AND Persecuted

            o   Apartheid – Afrikaner South Africa’s Public Relations Disaster 

                    o   Critical Population Statistics

                    o   White Unemployment

                    o   Afrikaner Alienation


Some Important Principles

·         Creating Wealth in the New South Africa

·         What is an Economy? – REALLY?

·         The Fundamentals of Mining

·         What is the Purpose of Government?

·         Why South Africa could NOT have Grown much more before 1980

 

Other Considerations

·         Did you know? – things that are breaking

·         An Alternative Summing up

·         Why is the Johannesburg Stock Exchange so Strong?

·         Letter to the Editor of a Professional Journal

·         Letter to the Editor of an Afrikaans Newspaper about Zuma singing Shoot the Boer

·         Why are Europeans NOT much more Energized in Defending themselves?

·         Why did the ANC only really have an impact from the late 1940’s?

·         Lessons from Dingaan and Retief ? Treachery

·         The Battle of Blood River – a Case Study in African Fundamentals

·         What IS Democracy?

·         What the British Brought

·         A Prophetic View – “The Almighty Speaks on South Africa”

 

Possible Courses of Action

-         Technically Valid Corrective Actions – Envisioning the Impossible

-         What can YOU do?

-         The basis for Europeans Withholding BEE, AA and tax and Demanding Change NOT the way to go

-         Your Options

-         Defensive Actions to Consider

 -         Get the message across

        -         Contact Newspapers around the World -- nearly              300 eMail Addresses

        -         Contact Europeans Parliamentarians

        -         Contact Diplomatic Missions 

        -         Western Cape

 

Conclusion – The Essence of my Views on South Africa

 

Fast and Pray -- Some Spiritual Considerations

 

Follow up -- Developments after completing the book

 


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The ENTIRE book is ALSO presented on this site so that you can read on-line -- there are links in the Table of Contents to all pages

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