Received this article attributed to Moeletsi Mbeki
There is much that I agree with regarding how the ANC is destroying the economy and how there will eventually be a mass uprising
I do NOT agree with what he has to say about corporate South Africa
Interesting article by Moeletsi Mbeki (Thabo Mbeki's brother)
South Africa: Only a matter of time before the bomb explodes
By Moeletsi Mbeki: Author, political commentator and entrepreneur.
I can predict when SA’s "Tunisia Day" will arrive. Tunisia Day is when the masses rise against the powers that be, as happened recently in Tunisia. The year will be 2020, give or take a couple of years. The year 2020 is when China estimates that its current minerals-intensive industrialisation phase will be concluded.
For SA, this will mean the African National Congress (ANC) government will have to cut back on social grants, which it uses to placate the black poor and to get their votes. China’s current industrialisation phase has forced up the prices of SA’s minerals, which has enabled the government to finance social welfare programmes. The ANC is currently making SA a welfare state and tends to ‘forget’ that there is only a minority that pays all the taxes. They are often quick to say that if people (read whites) are not happy they should leave. The more people that leave, the more their tax base shrinks. Yes, they will fill the positions with BEE candidates (read blacks), but if they are not capable of doing the job then the company will eventually fold as well as their ‘new’ tax base. When there is no more money available for handouts they will then have a problem because they are breeding a culture of handouts instead of creating jobs so people can gain an idea of the value of money. If you keep getting things for free then you lose the sense of its value. The current trend of saying if the west won’t help then China will is going to bite them. China will want payment – ie land for their people and will result in an influx of Chinese (there is no such thing as a free lunch!)
The ANC inherited a flawed, complex society it barely understood; its tinkering with it are turning it into an explosive cocktail. The ANC leaders are like a group of children playing with a hand grenade. One day one of them will figure out how to pull out the pin and everyone will be killed. …and 20 years on they still blame apartheid but have not done much to rectify things – changing names etc. only costs money that could have been spent elsewhere.
A famous African liberation movement, the National Liberation Front of Algeria, after tinkering for 30 years, pulled the grenade pin by cancelling an election in 1991 that was won by the opposition Islamic Salvation Front. In the civil war that ensued, 200000 people were killed. The ‘new’ leaders are forgetting the ‘struggle’ heroes and the reasons for it – their agenda is now power and money and it suits them for the masses to be ignorant – same as Mugabe did in Zim. If you do not agree with the leaders then the followers intimidate you.
The former British prime minister, Margaret Thatcher, once commented that whoever thought that the ANC could rule SA was living in Cloud Cuckoo Land. Why was Thatcher right? In the 16 years of ANC rule, all the symptoms of a government out of its depth have grown worse.
…but is it in their interest to solve crime? There are whole industries built on crime – each burglary, car hijacking etc. results in more sales of product and contribute to GDP. What would sales be if crime was down? I do not believe that anyone has worked out how much electricity is consumed a day because of electric fencing and security lights at night. Reduce the need for this (crime) and Eksdom (Eskom) would probably have a power surplus. – Or if they charged our African neighbours the correct rates at least make a decent profit to build more power stations.
What should the ANC have done, or be doing?
The answer is quite straightforward. When they took control of the government in 1994, ANC leaders should have: identified what SA’s strengths were; identified what SA’s weaknesses were; and decided how to use the strengths to minimise and/or rectify the weaknesses. Standard business principle – but they too busy enriching themselves. People who were in prison or were non-entities 20 years ago are now billionaires – how? BEE??
A wise government would have persuaded the skilled white and Indian population to devote some of their time — even an hour a week — to train the black and coloured population to raise their skill levels. This done by lots of NGO’s but should have been more constructively done by the ruling party.
What the ANC did instead when it came to power was to identify what its leaders and supporters wanted. It then used SA’s strengths to satisfy the short-term consumption demands of its supporters. In essence, this is what is called black economic empowerment (BEE). …and put people in positions they could not cope with making them look stupid where if they had the necessary grounding could have been good in the position at the right time. You cannot ‘create’ a company CEO in a couple of years. It takes years of work starting at the bottom of the ladder – not in the middle. Only some things can be learnt in books – experience is the most important factor and this is not found in text books or university corridors.
BEE promotes a number of extremely negative socioeconomic trends in our country. It promotes a class of politicians dependent on big business and therefore promotes big business’s interests in the upper echelons of government. Second, BEE promotes an anti-entrepreneurial culture among the black middle class by legitimising an environment of entitlement. Third, affirmative action, a subset of BEE, promotes incompetence (what I said above) and corruption in the public sector by using ruling party allegiance and connections as the criteria for entry and promotion in the public service, instead of having tough public service entry examinations. Nepotism is rife – jobs for friends and families who are nowhere near qualified – and then hire consultants to actually get the work done – at additional cost of course!
Let’s see where BEE, as we know it today, actually comes from. I first came across the concept of BEE from a company, which no longer exists, called Sankor. Sankor was the industrial division of Sanlam and it invented the concept of BEE.
The first purpose of BEE was to create a buffer group among the black political class that would become an ally of big business in SA. This buffer group would use its newfound power as controllers of the government to protect the assets of big business.
The buffer group would also protect the modus operandi of big business and thereby maintain the status quo in which South African business operates. That was the design of the big conglomerates.
Sanlam was soon followed by Anglo American. Sanlam established BEE vehicle Nail; Anglo established Real Africa, Johnnic and so forth. The conglomerates took their marginal assets, and gave them to politically influential black people, with the purpose, in my view, not to transform the economy but to create a black political class that is in alliance with the conglomerates and therefore wants to maintain the status quo of our economy and the way in which it operates.
But what is wrong with protecting SA’s conglomerates?
Well, there are many things wrong with how conglomerates operate and how they have structured our economy.
Conglomerates are a vehicle, not for creating development in SA but for exploiting natural resources without creating in-depth, inclusive social and economic development, which is what SA needs. That is what is wrong with protecting conglomerates.
The second problem with the formula of BEE is that it does not create entrepreneurs. People do not develop necessary skills when being fast-tracked into a position and being given a free ride. You are taking political leaders and politically connected people and giving them assets which, in the first instance, they don’t know how to manage. So you are not adding value. You are faced with the threat of undermining value by taking assets from people who were managing them and giving them to people who cannot manage them (what I said earlier above). BEE thus creates a class of idle rich ANC politicos.
My quarrel with BEE is that what the conglomerates are doing is developing a new culture in SA — not a culture of entrepreneurship, but an entitlement culture, whereby black people who want to go into business think that they should acquire assets free, and that somebody is there to make them rich, rather than that they should build enterprises from the ground. Agree!
But we cannot build black companies if what black entrepreneurs look forward to is the distribution of already existing assets from the conglomerates in return for becoming lobbyists for the conglomerates. All companies start from the bottom – when they are ‘given’ these businesses they are usually run into the ground because of inexperience. And when they are given loans to buy business the loans invariable are not repaid and the businesses go bankrupt.
The third worrying trend is that the ANC-controlled state has now internalised the BEE model. We are now seeing the state trying to implement the same model that the conglomerates developed.
What is the state distributing? It is distributing jobs to party faithful and social welfare to the poor (what I said in different words). This is a recipe for incompetence and corruption, both of which are endemic in SA. This is what explains the service delivery upheavals that are becoming a normal part of our environment.
So what is the correct road SA should be travelling?
We all accept that a socialist model, along the lines of the Soviet Union, is not workable for SA today. The creation of a state-owned economy is not a formula that is an option for SA or for many parts of the world. Therefore, if we want to develop SA instead of shuffling pre-existing wealth, we have to create new entrepreneurs, and we need to support existing entrepreneurs to diversify into new economic sectors.
Make people work for their ‘handouts’ even if it means they must sweep the streets or clean a park – just do something instead of getting all for nothing. Guaranteed there will then be less queing for handouts because they would then be working and in most instances they do not want to work – they want everything for nothing.
And in my opinion the ANC created this culture before the first election in 1994 when they promised the masses housing, electricity etc – they just neglected to tell them that they would have to pay for them. That is why the masses constantly do not want to pay for water, electricity, rates on their properties – they think the government must pay this – after all they were told by the ANC that they will be given these things – they just do not want to understand that the money to pay for this comes from somewhere and if you don’t pay you will eventually not have these services.
And then when the tax base has left they can grow their mielies in front of their shack and stretch out their open palms to the UN for food handouts an live a day to day existence that seems to be what they want – sit on their arse and do nothing.
Mbeki is the author of Architects of Poverty: Why African Capitalism Needs Changing. This article forms part of a series on transformation supplied by the Centre for Development and Enterprise.
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From consideration of the current situation in South Africa it is very easy to infer a hidden agenda on behalf of the ANC to destroy Europeans in South Africa, however I have come to understand that this is NOT the case, refer
The counterpoint to this is that the motive of Afrikaner Europeans was ALSO not the motive imputed to them by the ANC and the Western world
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This website evidences the impending utter destruction of South Africa and challenges those who can grasp the seriousness of the situation to come before the Almighty in Pretoria on Monday 16th December 2013 to cry out for deliverance -- see page http://www.south-africa-the-real-issues.org/Gathering16Dec2013.aspx
President Jacob Zuma, President of South Africa, leads the ANC Leadership and tens of thousands of ANC supporters in singing "The Cabinet will shoot the Boer with machine guns" in Bloemfontein on 8th January 2012 -- it appears that he may well have done this AGAIN on 16th December 2012
If you have NOT seen this you NEED to
This violates his Oath of Office, the Constitution, and, and, and -- it is a basis for impeachment
The agreement reached in October does NOT neutralize the culpability of the PRESIDENT doing what you will see here
This is NOT a "struggle song" -- the Cabinet during the struggle was made up of Boers -- this is a MODERN song
There is a direct correlation between this and the massive rate of white murders discussed in this book and on this site (between 68,800 and 165,000 since 1994)
There are OTHER very unpleasant unavoidable conclusions to be drawn
Note the enthusiasm of the participants and then ask yourself what conclusion you draw!
This website and the book that is available for free download here discuss this and many other unpleasant facts that point to some very unpleasant conclusions about the direction that South Africa is going
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The ONLY way that Jacob Zuma and the ANC can reverse this is by a widely broadcast public apology by Zuma and his top ANC Cabinet members broadcast on all TV and Radio Channels and many newspapers and CONCRETE action to bring a halt to ending white murders -- in my mind that requires that the Death Penalty is reinstated
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Do NOT Impute Motive -- the ANC and the Afrikaners
About the Cover
Zuma leads tens of thousands in singing about murdering whites -- an in-depth analysis of why this is so destructive
The South African Extreme white murder rate -- what is driving it? -- analyzed in-depth
What was Apartheid Really? -- an in-depth analysis of why Apartheid was NOT what it is widely believed to be
· Simplifying Complexity – my Analytical Approach
· Who AM I?
· What I am Feeling (same as most Europeans?)
· Evidence of Impending Collapse
· The Audience for this Book
· The Level of Murders of Europeans
· Race – The Unmentionable Fundamental that is Driving it ALL
· To my African Countrymen – WHY I am Alienated
· Why am I so UNSETTLED?
· 10 Concrete things the ANC is doing that are causing Irreversible Economic Damage
· There ARE Highly Intelligent and Highly Capable Africans – BUT…
The Critical Issues
· The Critical Issues Overview
o SA Myths Debunked
o What the White Man Brought to South Africa
o The Truth about Exploitation, Oppression, etc
o Erroneous Thinking in terms of Majority Rule
o Affirmative Action and Black Economic Empowerment are Complete Misnomers
o The Black Settlement Phenomenon – Total Lack of Creativity and Initiative – Social Helplessness
o How is Prosperity Created?
o How is Poverty Created?
o The ANC is Founded on a Fundamentally False Premise
· Economic Meltdown -- The Time Trajectory of Strategic Collapse
· The ANC’s REAL Agenda?
· Black Population Explosion
· The Collapse of Education
· South Africa is NO Longer a Democracy
The Intangible Factors Driving South Africa’s Collapse
· The Dunning-Kruger Phenomenon ? Arrogant Ignorance and Other Destructive Consequences
· Understanding Early Childhood Learning and its Impact on South Africa
· Understanding “Power-Fear” and its Negative Consequences for South Africa
· The African “Garden of Eden” Mindset (Money Grows on Trees)
· Greed Versus Prudence
· Understanding versus Rote Learning
· Assets and People do NOT EQUAL Wealth
o The Land Issue
o Asset Obsession and things that are NOT Wealth
o Different Definitions of Wealth – Another Point of Difference
o Major Gaps in African Deductive Reasoning – Cause and Effect, etc
o Is the Manifest Cause and Effect Cognitive Gap Throughout Africa Evidence of a Genetic Short Coming?
· Words – Harder than Concrete
· The African Victim Drama and European Rescue Drama Dynamic
· Communism – Exacerbating Power-Fear and Arrogant Ignorance
· Witchcraft and Ancestor Worship – Central to Understanding
· European Fundamentals that Mask the Seriousness of the Situation
o Attributes of Europeans and Africans Contrasted
o Psychodynamics of Africans and Europeans
o European Fundamentals – Towards Understanding South Africa 2013
o Mistakes the Europeans (especially Afrikaners) made
o The 2%:12%:86% Wealth Creation Phenomenon amongst Europeans
o Fundamental European Values at a Wealth Creator, Wealth Developer Leadership Level
o What South African Europeans do Instinctively to Accommodate Africans
o Incorrect beliefs of Liberal, Christian Europeans
o Liberalism – Seriously Clouding the Issues
· The Religious Dimension
o Overarching Headlines a Week after Reading the book “Bulala” by Cuan Elgin
o Thoughts after Reading Bulala – A True Story of South Africa by Cuan Elgin
o What WAS Apartheid? – REALLY?
o Afrikaner Racial Hostility, Distrust, Fear and Arrogance – Truth with Wrong Attitude
o The Afrikaner Paradox – Blessed AND Persecuted
o Apartheid – Afrikaner South Africa’s Public Relations Disaster
o Critical Population Statistics
o White Unemployment
o Afrikaner Alienation
Some Important Principles
· Creating Wealth in the New South Africa
· What is an Economy? – REALLY?
· The Fundamentals of Mining
· What is the Purpose of Government?
· Why South Africa could NOT have Grown much more before 1980
· Did you know? – things that are breaking
· An Alternative Summing up
· Why is the Johannesburg Stock Exchange so Strong?
· Letter to the Editor of a Professional Journal
· Letter to the Editor of an Afrikaans Newspaper about Zuma singing Shoot the Boer
· Why are Europeans NOT much more Energized in Defending themselves?
· Why did the ANC only really have an impact from the late 1940’s?
· Lessons from Dingaan and Retief ? Treachery
· The Battle of Blood River – a Case Study in African Fundamentals
· What IS Democracy?
· What the British Brought
· A Prophetic View – “The Almighty Speaks on South Africa”
Possible Courses of Action
- Technically Valid Corrective Actions – Envisioning the Impossible
- What can YOU do?
- The basis for Europeans Withholding BEE, AA and tax and Demanding Change NOT the way to go
- Your Options
- Defensive Actions to Consider
- Get the message across
- Contact Newspapers around the World -- nearly 300 eMail Addresses
- Contact Europeans Parliamentarians
- Contact Diplomatic Missions
- Western Cape
Conclusion – The Essence of my Views on South Africa
Fast and Pray -- Some Spiritual Considerations
Follow up -- Developments after completing the book
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